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A roadmap for the comprehensive assessment of Natech risk : management and control of technological accidents triggered by natural hazards in the framework of climate change /

The book 'A Roadmap for the Comprehensive Assessment of Natech Risk' by Alessio Misuri and Valerio Cozzani explores the complex interactions between natural hazards and technological systems, specifically focusing on Natech (Natural Hazard Triggering Technological Accidents) events. It pro...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Misuri, Alessio (Author), Cozzani, Valerio (Author)
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: Amsterdam ; Cambridge, MA : Elsevier, [2024]
Subjects:
Emergency management.
Natural disasters.
Catastrophes naturelles.
natural disasters.
Emergency management
Natural disasters
Online Access:ScienceDirect
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Table of Contents:
  • Front Cover
  • A Roadmap for the Comprehensive Assessment of Natech Risk
  • Copyright Page
  • Contents
  • 1 Introduction
  • 1.1 What is a Natech accident?
  • 1.2 Contents of this book
  • References
  • 2 Features of Natech accidents in the framework of climate change
  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Examples of Natech events
  • 2.2.1 Northridge earthquake (United States, 1994)
  • 2.2.2 San Jacinto River flood (United States, 1994)
  • 2.2.3 Kocaeli earthquake (Turkey, 1999)
  • 2.2.4 Hurricanes Katrina and Rita (United States/Mexico, 2005)
  • 2.2.5 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami (Japan, 2011)
  • 2.2.6 Hurricane Harvey (United States, 2017)
  • 2.3 Statistics and lessons from past accident analysis
  • 2.3.1 Overview
  • 2.3.2 Natech events triggered by earthquakes
  • 2.3.3 Natech events triggered by floods
  • 2.3.4 Natech events triggered by lightning strikes
  • 2.3.5 The implications of climate change on Natech hazard
  • 2.4 Conclusions
  • References
  • 3 State of the art in the quantitative risk assessment of Natech accidents
  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 State-of-the-art methodologies
  • 3.2.1 Qualitative and semiquantitative approaches
  • 3.2.2 Quantitative approaches
  • 3.3 Conclusions
  • References
  • 4 Escalation of Natech accidents: methodologies for the identification and assessment of cascading sequences and domino effects
  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Methodology
  • 4.3 Test case
  • 4.3.1 Introduction
  • 4.3.2 Definition of the test case
  • 4.3.3 Guided application of the methodology to the analysis of the test case
  • 4.3.4 Escalation scenarios and calculation of risk indexes
  • 4.4 Discussion
  • 4.5 Conclusions
  • References
  • 5 A holistic approach to support quantitative Natech risk assessment and management
  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Lessons from milestone Natech accidents
  • 5.2.1 Essentials features of MTO analysis.
  • 5.2.2 Peroxide manufacturing plant accident (Texas, 2017)
  • 5.2.3 Fukushima Daiichi NPS accident (Japan, 2011)
  • 5.3 A paradigm shift in Natech accident modeling
  • 5.3.1 Implications of the two milestone accidents for the Natech assessment framework
  • 5.3.2 An innovative paradigm for Natech risk assessment
  • 5.4 Enhancing Natech risk assessment to include complex accident sequences
  • 5.4.1 A roadmap for the implementation of the new accident paradigm
  • 5.4.2 Primary accident paths (direct and indirect)
  • 5.4.3 Safety barriers and accident escalation
  • 5.4.4 The enhanced risk assessment framework
  • 5.5 Conclusions
  • References
  • 6 Assessment of the performance of safety barriers during Natech accidents
  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.1.1 Concepts and definitions
  • 6.1.2 Characterization of safety barriers
  • 6.1.3 Integration of safety barriers in risk assessment
  • 6.2 Methodology
  • 6.2.1 Overview of the methodology
  • 6.2.2 Metrics for barrier performance assessment
  • 6.2.3 Structure of the survey and data elicitation
  • 6.3 Application of the approach and results of the survey
  • 6.3.1 Qualitative results
  • 6.3.2 Quantitative results and performance modification factors
  • 6.4 Discussion
  • 6.5 Conclusions
  • References
  • 7 Methodologies for the quantitative risk assessment of Natech accidents considering the degradation of safety barriers
  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Methodologies for Natech QRA considering safety barrier depletion
  • 7.2.1 Escalation of primary Natech scenarios considering safety barrier depletion and degradation
  • 7.2.1.1 Overview of the methodology
  • 7.2.1.2 Metrics for safety barrier performance assessment
  • 7.2.1.3 Characterization of primary technological scenarios
  • 7.2.1.4 Identification and frequency assessment of combinations of events.
  • 7.2.2 Accident propagation through domino effect and concurrent safety barrier degradation
  • 7.2.2.1 Overview of the methodology
  • 7.2.2.2 Characterization of domino scenarios and risk calculation
  • 7.3 Case study A: Escalation of primary Natech events considering barrier depletion
  • 7.3.1 Definition of the case study
  • 7.3.2 Results obtained in the case study
  • 7.3.2.1 Assessment of safety barrier performance
  • 7.3.2.2 Assessment of the final outcomes
  • 7.3.2.3 Risk figures
  • 7.4 Case study B: Domino effects generated by primary Natech events considering safety barrier performance degradation
  • 7.4.1 Definition of the case study
  • 7.4.2 Results obtained in the case study
  • 7.4.2.1 Assessment of safety barrier performance
  • 7.4.2.2 Assessment of the final outcomes and of overall domino scenarios
  • 7.4.2.3 Risk figures
  • 7.5 Discussion
  • 7.6 Conclusions
  • References
  • 8 Roadmap and tools for the prevention of Natech accidents under climate change
  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Natech scenarios: identification of emerging hazards
  • 8.2.1 Issues in the hazard identification of Natech scenarios in the framework of climate change
  • 8.2.2 Identification of natural events causing new or emerging Natech hazards
  • 8.2.3 Effect of climate change on the intensity and return period of natural events
  • 8.3 Multi-hazard approach and interaction of hazard factors
  • 8.4 Specific characterization of reference hazards
  • 8.5 Identification of critical equipment
  • 8.6 Identification and assessment of direct Natech scenarios
  • 8.7 Identification and assessment of indirect Natech scenarios
  • 8.8 Safety barriers
  • 8.9 Consequence analysis of Natech scenarios
  • 8.10 Risk assessment of Natech scenarios
  • 8.11 Management of the risk of exceedance and resilience strategies
  • 8.12 Conclusions
  • References
  • 9 Conclusions and future directions.
  • 9.1 Concluding remarks
  • 9.2 Future directions
  • 10 Glossary
  • 10.1 Premise
  • 10.2 Glossary
  • Index
  • Back Cover.

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